The messy city council in Copenhagen is in reality not aware of their responsibility, when by 2030 they will transform the capital into something where only the richest drive a car, Soren Hansen believes.
There is a fairly well-founded suspicion that Copenhagen's messy city government is not, in reality, particularly socially conscious.
Rather, one wants to cover the wealthy cafe-latte-drinking population group, for whom industry and agriculture are rubbish, and who have no insight into where our prosperity and welfare actually come from.
The politicians at the Town Hall now have a burning desire to ban all petrol and diesel-powered coaches (hereafter "fossil cars") within the municipal boundaries already from 2030 onwards.
After that, everyone must get into electric cars and enjoy the clean air and the state of "CO 2 -neutrality", which you can't really feel physically – but only as a good feeling in your stomach).
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In preparation, the city council has ordered a report from the audit firm Ernest & Young and a lawyer Schjodt.
A slightly strange constellation, we saw the other day that audit firms may not be the best at assessing green conversion, and the lawyer can probably just contribute to ensuring that the municipality does not end up in court. But the report is now out, and it's interesting reading.
The report begins by assessing the status of electric cars today:
" In 2023, 9 percent of the passenger cars in both Copenhagen and the rest of the metropolitan area will run on electricity. We expect that if no new initiatives are adopted from the political side, the proportion will rise to 32% in 2030 and to 54% in 2035.
It takes longer, because parts of the freight transport are converted to electricity. While vans, like passenger cars, are well underway with the conversion, the share of electric trucks today is still close to 0 percent. We expect the share to be around 4% in 2030 and 20% in 2035. ”
As you know, the share of electric trucks is close to zero, because none really exist, and it is extremely uneconomical for a trucker to bet on them.
The report provides a map that shows the situation purely geographically. Here you can see how Frederiksberg Municipality naturally has to join the total ban, surrounded by Copenhagen as it is.
The two municipalities are called the "Central municipalities". There is then talk of the "Neighbourhood municipalities", which make up the belt around Copenhagen, and then "Other capital municipalities", which are further away. But from where many have their regular errands in the capital.
A total ban will therefore probably involve expropriation, after which the car owners will be entitled to compensation, while a zero-emission zone could possibly be avoided.
However, the majority of the report deals with the total ban, as it is the only model that ensures a full phasing out of fossil-fuel road traffic in 2030.
The report is absolutely clear that these are drastic measures:
" A ban on fossil road traffic in the central municipalities in 2030 is, in a traffic context, a very far-reaching measure that can lead to major changes in traffic. The ban affects both":
- Residents of the central municipalities, who in practice can no longer own a fossil-fuel car. Fossil car owners must either switch to an electric car or opt out of car ownership.
- Residents outside the central municipalities who will no longer be able to drive to the central municipalities in their fossil-fuel car. It increases their incentive to buy an electric car or opt out of car ownership altogether, and therefore the ban also affects traffic outside the borders of the central municipalities.
The report then guesses a certain decrease in the number of "passenger trips by car", where there is talk of 1-16%. It is somewhat uncertain. So we get to the trucks.. The full post can be read here .
Soren Hansen's post was first published on klimarealimse.dk on 28 August 2024.
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