Saturday, May 24, 2025

The government now expects 1 million electric cars by 2028

The government expects that Danes will have purchased one million electric cars by 2028. The Danish car importers' interest group praises the projection.

The government expects 1 million electric cars in 2028. The car importers' interest group Mobility Denmark views the development positively, but still calls for low taxes on electric cars.

The number of electric cars in Denmark is increasing significantly. There are now 400,000 electric cars on Danish roads. This is happening at the same time that the government has just adjusted its forecast for the future.

The government now expects 1 million electric cars in Denmark as early as 2028. The organization Mobility Denmark is following the development closely and comments on the new figures in a press release .

The new forecast is a clear increase from previous expectations. The government also predicts that there will be 1.4 million electric cars in Denmark by 2030.

Mobility Denmark, the automotive industry's interest group, supports the new figures. The industry association is also optimistic about the future of electric cars in Denmark.

The association's own forecast is even a bit more ambitious. They expect 1.6 million electric cars in Denmark by 2030.

Mobility Denmark: The electric car's grip on the Danes is fragile

"This upward adjustment is a strong signal that the electric car has really gained traction in Denmark," says Mads Rorvig, CEO of Mobility Denmark.

– We share the optimism and believe that things can go even stronger.

He points to current sales as proof. However, the director does not address why Danes choose electric cars. And yet.

Mads Rorvig, who has previously said that Danes should be whipped into buying only electric cars, is still calling for a low tax on electric cars.

Sales of electric cars to private individuals currently account for 82 percent of total passenger car sales. But Mobility Denmark fears that this will change if a registration tax is imposed on this type of car.

Challenges: Charging infrastructure and registration tax

Massive investments are needed in charging infrastructure across the country. The electricity grid also needs to be significantly upgraded to handle the increasing need for charging.

Workshops must also be equipped for the future. They must be able to service the growing number of electric cars efficiently.

The most important element, however, remains the economic incentives, the industry body believes that electric vehicles must remain an economically attractive choice for consumers.

"The development of electric cars so far has only been possible due to economic incentives in the form of tax exemptions," explains Mads Rorvig.

He warns against removing the exemptions too quickly.

Experience from neighboring countries such as Germany and Sweden shows a clear trend. Electric car sales could decline rapidly and significantly if incentives are removed or sharply reduced.

– Right now is a historic opportunity to create a new, future-proof car taxation system without registration tax for electric cars, believes Mads Rorvig.

The large increase in electric cars is significantly changing the Danish car market, while the rest of Europe is lagging significantly behind.

In fact, a count from the car manufacturers' association ACEA shows that just 1.8 percent of the total car fleet in Europe runs exclusively on electricity.

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